Evidence

We publish our grant rate. Whichever way it goes.

Every incumbent quotes a success rate and none of them says how it was computed. This page gives the number, the sample it came from, the window it covers, and the national figure to judge it against.

Wren applications approved, rolling twelve months
Not yetWren applications approved, rolling twelve months
National benchmark, England
87.0%National benchmark, England
Decided cases in the window
1Decided cases in the window
Days in the rolling window
365Days in the rolling window

Wren

Not yet

We do not publish a rate until the sample reaches 20 decided cases. Below that a single decision moves the figure by whole percentage points, which would be a number pretending to be evidence.

England, all applicants

87.0%

The benchmark this has to be read against. MHCLG Live Table P120A (England, rolling 12-month).

As at 30 September 2026. Both figures are the share of decided applications that were approved. Withdrawn applications are excluded from both, because a withdrawal is not a refusal and counting it as one would flatter us.

By route

Broken down, including where the sample is too thin.

A tier is published only once it has 20 decided cases behind it. The rest are listed with their count so you can see what is coming rather than wonder what was left out.

RouteDecidedApproved
Minor1Too few to rate

Method

How the number is computed.

Every source we hold

Approval rate is approved divided by decided. Win rate additionally counts allowed appeals and split decisions where Wren's side prevailed. Tier breakdowns are published only above a 20-case sample, to keep small-sample noise out of a headline figure. All figures are independently auditable from the public planning registers; see /data for the ingest schedule.

It is computed from our own case records at request time rather than typed into the page, so it cannot drift from what actually happened. If it falls, this page falls with it.

See what your own site is likely to get.

The appraisal gives a likelihood for your specific boundary, with the factors driving it named, and it is free.

Draw your siteWhat an appraisal returns